The Gap the Hedger Prefers

You buy a one-month at-the-money call on a stock trading at $100 \$100 , paying $4.00 \$4.00 for it (take the option to cover one share, so all figures are per share). Its delta is 0.50 0.50 , and you immediately delta-hedge by shorting 0.50 0.50 shares at $100 \$100 . You re-hedge to delta-neutral once a day at the close, and you hold the position to expiry.

The stock ends the month at $80 \$80 either way, but consider two paths:

- **Path A:** overnight, the stock gaps straight from $100 \$100 to $80 \$80 on bad news, then sits at $80 \$80 for the rest of the month. - **Path B:** the stock drifts down about $1 \$1 a day for twenty trading days, arriving at $80 \$80 at expiry.

The option expires worthless in both cases. Which path makes you more money, and by roughly how much? What general principle is this?

Answer

Free accounts unlock one worked solution a day. Pro includes every answer.