One Token Against Two
At an arcade, Rui challenges Sana to a series of one-token games: each round the loser hands one token to the winner, and Rui wins any given round with probability , independently of the rest. Rui starts with 1 token and Sana with 2, and they keep playing until one of them holds all 3 tokens. What is the probability that Rui wins everything?
Answer
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